The National Hurricane Center has increased the chances of a tropical system developing across the NW Caribbean Sea, Yucatan Peninsula, or the southern Gulf of Mexico over the next five days to 40% (medium chance).
Items to Consider:
- System has yet to develop.
- Any development should be slow to occur.
- Confidence is slowly increasing that if the disturbance develops, it will move into either the Bay of Campeche or the southern Gulf of Mexico.
- There is currently low certainty as to which direction the disturbance may move if it enters the Gulf.
- At this time, it is too early to speculate what (if any) impacts may occur across the Gulf of Mexico or Texas.
Note: The tropical weather web page is now available: http://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=crp
Friday morning, unless conditions change before then.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX