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TS Harvey Update from NWS Corpus Christi, includes information for CALHOUN, GOLIAD, and VICTORIA Counties, Victoria Crossroads, Mid-Coast Area, and Coastal Bend.

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​Good Afternoon, Here is the latest information on the disturbance near the Yucatan.

Overview:
Satellite images indicate that the area of low pressure near the Yucatan Peninsula, associated with the remnants of Harvey, has become better defined during the day.  Environmental conditions will become conducive for development when the system moves over the Bay of Campeche tonight.  A tropical depression is expected to form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday or Thursday, and move in the general direction of the Texas coast through Friday.  Residents along the Texas coast should monitor the progress of this system, as it could produce storm surge and tropical storm or hurricane force winds along portions of the Texas coast, and very heavy rainfall Friday through the weekend.  Do not focus on the many individual model plots for this storm.  These can have significant errors.  Local residents should ensure your hurricane preparedness plans are in order.  Check our local hurricane guide for detailed checklists.

South Texas Impacts:

Winds:  Tropical Storm or Hurricane Force Winds possibly beginning Friday.  However there is low confidence on where the strongest winds will occur or how strong this storm could get.

Rainfall:  Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts possible.  This could potentially cause flooding of low areas, including low roadways, creeks, streams, and rivers. However there is low confidence on where the heaviest rains will occur.

Storm Tides:  Coastal flooding along area beaches will likely begin Thursday Night and could persist through Saturday.  Very preliminary estimates of storm surge values of 4 to 6 feet above ground level is possible  along and to the right of the center, which would potentially flood low areas along the barrier islands, inland areas of the Laguna Madre.

Additional Information Resources:

National Hurricane Center:
  www.hurricanes.gov
NWS Corpus Christi:  www.weather.gov/corpuschristi
NWS CORPUS CHRISTI Tropical Webpage:  http://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=crp

Sincerely,
John
NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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