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Strong to Severe Thunderstorms and Locally Heavy Rainfall Possible over South Central Texas Sunday Afternoon through Monday Morning.

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Severe Weather Threat Sun-Mon

Area of Concern:

All of South Central Texas, with the best chances of strong to severe storms on Sunday afternoon and evening before transitioning more to a locally heavy rainfall threat Sunday evening into Monday morning.

Threats & Impacts:

Tornadoes:  A few tornadoes possible. 

Winds:  Wind gusts to 60 MPH.

Hail:  Quarter sized or greater.

Rainfall:  Average rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches possible.

Timing and Overview:

A Pacific front and upper-level disturbance will move across northern Mexico into west Texas by Sunday afternoon and evening with temperatures and moisture levels ahead of the front more similar to mid-March than mid-January. Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop by Sunday afternoon across the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains before moving east into the Hill Country and Interstate 35 corridor by Sunday evening. Soil moisture conditions are not expected to be conducive for flooding initially, but there is a potential for flooding by Sunday night into Monday as the front slows down and moves towards the Coastal Plains. Minor river flooding will be possible through the middle of next week as light to moderate rain showers continue into at least Tuesday.

Please stay tuned to updates on this evolving situation over the holiday weekend as changes in the forecast may shift the location and timing of the severe weather and locally heavy rainfall threat.

Confidence:

Moderate

Additional Information Resources:

Request for Information:Please relay severe weather reports and/or photo’s of severe weather to sr-ewx.alert@noaa.gov

Sincerely,
Larry Hopper and Jason Runyen
National Weather Service Austin – San Antonio

image4Scattered showers are expected across most areas on Saturday with isolated thunderstorms also possible across the Hill Country and Central Texas. Showers and thunderstorms increase Sunday and Monday as an upper level disturbance and cold front move across our area. Strong storms and locally heavy rains are possible Sunday Night through Monday. Scattered showers linger into Tuesday. A dry airmass filters into our area bringing an end to the rain with partly cloudy skies expected on Wednesday. Well above normal temperatures this weekend fall closer to normal next week.Here’s your TTR Weekend Weather Forecast from the National Weather Service in Austin – San Antonio –

Tonight
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Saturday Night
Cloudy with a slight chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday
Breezy. Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

Martin Luther King Jr Day
Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Monday Night And Tuesday
Cloudy with showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Have a great weekend,
Texas Thunder Radio

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