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Showers and Storms Expected Tuesday into Wednesday

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…Isolated Strong Storms Possible Tonight across Val Verde and Edwards Counties…
…Strong to Severe Storms Possible Tuesday through Wednesday across South Central Texas…
…Pockets of Locally Heavy Rainfall Possible Tuesday through Wednesday…

Area of Concern:

Tonight – Far western areas, across Val Verde and Edwards Counties.
Tuesday through Wednesday – Most of South Central Texas.


Threats & Impacts:

Winds: Isolated storms capable of producing damaging straight-line wind gusts up to 60 mph.
Hail: Isolated storms capable of producing large hail.

Rainfall: 1-2 inches common along and east of a Burnet to Uvalde line (see attached graphic). Isolated pockets of 3-4 inches can’t be ruled out east of this line. Lesser amounts near the Rio Grande.

Timing and Overview:

An upper-level storm system and a cold front moving across South Central Texas will generate showers and storms Tuesday through Wednesday across much of South Central Texas. The best chance of storms will occur across the Rio Grande Tuesday afternoon and evening and across the Hill Country, Winter Garden region, and along and east of the I-35 corridor late Tuesday night through Wednesday.

Some storms could become strong to severe, with large hail and damaging straight-line winds the primary threat. In addition, isolated pockets of heavy rainfall are possible east of a Burnet to Uvalde line. However, recent drought conditions should limit widespread flash flooding issues.

There is also a low chance of strong to severe storms tonight across Val Verde and Edwards Counties.

Confidence:

Severe Storms: Low to Moderate
Rainfall Amounts: Moderate

Additional Information Resources:

NWS Austin / San Antonio Web page: http://www.weather.gov/sanantonio
Storm Prediction Center: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Sign up to be Rainfall Observer: http://cocorahs.org/Application.aspx
Report Severe Weather to us on Twitter using: @NWSSanAntonio and #ewxspotter

Sincerely,
Jason Runyen
NWS Austin / San Antonio

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