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TTR Weather Update for COLORADO, JACKSON, and WHARTON Counties

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A strong cold front will cross the region on Sunday. Unseasonably cold temperatures will enter the area and lows Tuesday and Wednesday morning could fall into the lower 20’s.

A strong cold front will cross the area on Sunday and usher in the coldest air of the season.  There will be a brief period of freezing drizzle possible Sunday night but the latest guidance suggests that the moisture will exit prior to the coldest air arriving. However, any residual moisture on exposed surfaces will freeze. This will be a prolonged cold weather outbreak. Overnight low temperatures are expected to fall near to or below freezing by Monday morning and fall below freezing each night through Friday morning.

  1. Very cold temperatures with lows falling into the lower 20’s north of I-10 Tuesday and Wednesday mornings. A Hard Freeze Warning may be required for areas north of I-10 on Tuesday and Wednesday.
  2. Wind Chill values could fall below 13 degrees on Tuesday morning, mainly north of I-10 and east of I-45. A Wind Chill Advisory may be required. Persons displaced by Harvey could be living in damaged housing or other sub-standard housing and will be vulnerable to the cold temperatures.

  3. Strong winds near the coast in the wake of the front may require a Wind Advisory Sunday night into Monday. North to northeast winds of 20 to 30 mph with higher gusts will be possible.

Alternate Possibilities
Freezing drizzle could develop Sunday night if freezing temperatures arrive earlier than expected. Accumulations, if any, would be extremely light.

The Canadian model brings a bout of precipitation through the region Monday night into Tuesday. No other model shows this and the forecast is based on the drier GFS and European models.

Confidence: High

No graphics attached since this is primarily a temperature forecast.

Resources

 

 

Charles Roeseler and Molly Merrifield
National Weather Service – Houston/Galveston, TX
Twitter: @NWSHouston
Facebook: NWSHouston

Lone Star Oudoors Show with Cable Smith

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Happy New Year! Hope 2018 is a banner one for you and yours.

We discuss hippo hunting in Tanzania, the Grizzly Bear ban on hunting in British Columbia and the upcoming Dallas Safari Club Convention with DSC’s Executive Director Corey Mason.

Next, we take a look at winter whitetail deer nutrition with QDMA’s Kip Adams. Their are some do’s and don’ts when it comes to when to feed deer during the winter, and in extreme cold weather environments feeding corn might actually be lethal to deer. Kip explains why.

Then we check in with Borderlands Research Institute Director Dr. Louis Harveson. We discuss their 17 year study on West Texas mountain lions and what their findings indicate for the longterm outlook of Texas’ largest apex predator.

We wrap up the broadcast by taking a look at the ridiculous proposal by the Sierra Club to reintroduce Grey Wolves into Colorado. I explain why this is an incredibly stupid idea that flies in the face of North American wildlife conservation.

Cable Smith
Owner/Host  Lone Star Outdoors Show

TTR Weather Update for DeWitt, Fayette, Gonzales, and Lavaca Counties from National Weather Service Austin – San Antonio

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…Strong Cold Front Expected Sunday…
…Hard Freezes Monday-Wednesday…
…Slight Chance of Freezing Drizzle Sunday Night into Monday Morning…

Timing and Overview:

A strong cold front with arctic air will move into South Central Texas on Sunday. Strong north winds and cold temperatures will result in blustery conditions New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day.

There is a slight chance that freezing drizzle could develop behind the cold front New Year’s Eve night into New Year’s Day morning. Accumulation amounts IF the freezing drizzle were to occur appear to be light, and likely limited to typical elevated structures such as bridges and overpasses. Chances in the freezing drizzle occurring is currently low, but non-zero.

Also, hard freezes are expected to occur across portions of the area Monday through Wednesday mornings of next week.

We will send another update Friday as confidence and details in the specifics increase.

Confidence:
Temperatures:  High
Freezing Precipitation:  Low

Sincerely,
Jason Runyen
NWS Austin / San Antonio
Weather Forecast Office

TTR Weather Update for COLORADO, JACKSON, and WHARTON Counties from the National Weather Service Houston – Galveston

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Cloudy and cold conditions are expected through the end of 2017, but a strong cold front crossing the region on Sunday will bring in much colder temperatures and a low chance for winter precipitation Sunday night north of a Brenham to Cleveland line.
Overview
Much colder air now over Canada will reach the region on Sunday, allowing for temperatures to fall below freezing by Monday morning for areas north of I-10. Light rain will be possible during the day ahead of the front Sunday and may linger long enough behind the front Sunday night into early Monday morning to produce light freezing rain or drizzle across areas north of a Brenham to Cleveland line. Forecast confidence is low with respect to occurrence of freezing rain/drizzle on Sunday night. However, any water still on roadways when temperatures fall below freezing Sunday night may result in slick or icy spots.

Forecast confidence is highest with respect to temperatures. Widespread below freezing temperatures will be possible Monday morning north of I-10 and all the way to the coast on Tuesday morning. Wind chills during this time may drop into the teens and Wind Chill Advisories may be needed. These cold temperatures may be of particular concern for individuals displaced or affected from Harvey and utilizing temporary or makeshift housing.
Monday Morning Forecast Wind Chills:

Forecast Comments
We are highly confident that sub-freezing temperatures and low wind chills will affect parts of the region next week and this appears to be the primary weather hazard going forward.
We have low confidence on when, where, or what locations may be impacted by winter weather. Depending on how quickly the cold front moves through, winter weather may not occur at all Sunday night or may be delayed until the middle of the week as an upper level system arrives. As more data becomes available, refinements to this forecast are likely.
Resources
Melissa Huffman and Charles Roeseler
National Weather Service – Houston/Galveston, TX
Twitter: @NWSHouston
Facebook: NWSHouston

TTR Weather Update

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Look for cold conditions to continue through the weekend and into early next week. Drizzle should end after tonight, and not return again until Sunday across the coastal plains. The arrival of a cold front and Arctic air may be timed just right to produce a mix of rain and freezing rain Monday morning, mainly along and north of I-10/U.S. 90. High temperatures the next few days will rise from the 40s on Thursday to the 60s on Saturday. Low temperatures will rise from the lower to mid 30s on Thursday, to the 40s on Saturday.

Today: Cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight: Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows around 40. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.


Friday: Cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Near steady temperature in the upper 40s. Southeast winds 5 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight.


Saturday: Warmer. Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy before midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s.


Sunday: Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s.

New Years Eve: Colder, cloudy. Chance of rain before midnight, then a chance of rain or slight chance of freezing rain after midnight. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Lowest wind chill readings 25 to 30 after midnight.

New Years Day: Colder. Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain or freezing rain in the morning, then partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Wind chill readings 20 to 25.

Monday Night And Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Wind chill readings 25 to 30.

Fire Weather Outlook:


Fire Weather Planning Forecast for South Central Texas
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
623 AM CST Thu Dec 28 2017

...Strong Cold Front Sunday with Mixed Precipitation Possible
New Years Eve into New Years Day...

.DISCUSSION...
Cloudy and cool conditions will continue into the weekend with a
few patches of light rain or drizzle possible mainly south of I-10
and east of I-35. Over the weekend light rain chances will spread
to the west into the I-35 corridor. A strong front will move
through the area Sunday with more overrunning light rain and
drizzle possible immediately behind the front. Cold air is
expected to bring temperatures below freezing over at least the
Hwy 90 corridor with rain possibly changing over to freezing rain
before ending late Sunday night into Monday. No significant ice
accumulation is expected at this time. Well below normal
temperatures and very dry conditions are expected for late Monday
into Tuesday night. Cool temperatures will keep relative humidity
above 30% for the entire forecast period.

 

TXZ222-224-225-290430-
Karnes-De Witt-Lavaca-
Including the cities of Karnes City, Cuero, and Halletsville
623 AM CST Thu Dec 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Chance precip (%)     10           20           10
Precip Type           NONE         rain         NONE
Temp (24h trend)      49 (+8)      39 (+2)      54
RH % (24h trend)      66 (-13)     93 (-7)      58
20ftWnd-AM(MPH)       N  8                      NE  6
20ftWnd-PM(MPH)       NE  7        NE  6        E  5
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    1557                      1270
Transport wnd (MPH)   NE 12                     NE  5
CWR                   0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1
Haines Index          2            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds up to 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs around 60. North winds up to 15 mph.
.NEW YEARS DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain or slight chance
of light freezing rain. Much colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs
in the upper 30s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 50s. North winds up to 5 mph.
Guadalupe-Wilson-Gonzales-
Including the cities of Seguin, Floresville, and Gonzales
623 AM CST Thu Dec 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Chance precip (%)     10           10           10
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Temp (24h trend)      48 (+7)      38 (+2)      53
RH % (24h trend)      66 (+1)      90 (-10)     61
20ftWnd-AM(MPH)       N  6                      NE  5
20ftWnd-PM(MPH)       NE  6        NE  4        SE  5
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    1550                      1443
Transport wnd (MPH)   NE  9                     E  3
CWR                   0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1
Haines Index          2            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Cooler.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. North winds up to
20 mph.
.NEW YEARS DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain or slight chance
of light freezing rain. Colder. Lows around 30. Highs in the
upper 30s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
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