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Strong to Severe Storms Possible Saturday Night.

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Area of Concern:

Hill Country and along and east of the I-35 corridor.

Threats & Impacts:

Winds: Damaging straight-line winds in excess of 60 mph possible.

Hail: Hail 1-2″ in diameter possible.

Rainfall: 1/4 to 1 inch with isolated pockets up to 2 inches

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Timing and Overview:

Not too many changes in the models since yesterday. An upper level system and associated surface cold front will bring a chance of storms to portions of South Central Texas Saturday evening and overnight. A few isolated storms could be possible near and east of I-35 as early as Saturday afternoon. However the best chance of storms will come between 8 PM and Midnight Saturday evening across the Hill Country and I-35 corridor and 10 PM to 2 AM east of I-35. Some storms will be capable of producing large hail and damaging straight-line winds. The Storm Prediction Center continues to place portions of the area in a Slight to Enhanced risk for severe storms for mainly Saturday night.

In addition, frequent cloud to ground lightning will be possible. Due to the progressive nature of this storm system the threat for widespread heavy rainfall and flooding is minimal. Rainfall amounts will average 1/4 to 1 inch. A few pockets of 1-2 inches of rainfall will be possible east of I-35 and north of I-10. Much lesser amounts of rainfall will occur out near the Rio Grande.

Confidence:

Moderate

Additional Information Resources:
NWS Austin / San Antonio Webpage: http://www.weather.gov/sanantonio
Storm Prediction Center: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Online Severe Weather Reporting: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/StormReport/SubmitReport.php?site=EWX

Sincerely,
Jason Runyen
NWS Austin / San Antonio

TTR Weekend Weather from the National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio.

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Temperatures are climbing! Make sure you practice heat safety wherever you are! Whether you’re working, exercising, or just running errands, make sure you know how to stay safe during hot temperature days.

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Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night as an upper-level disturbance and cold front move across South Central Texas. The main threats with these storms will be large hail and damaging winds. Tornado and flash flood chances should be minimal. Best chances for severe weather will be northeast of a Fredericksburg to San Antonio to Hallettsville line, and likely after dark Saturday night.

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An upper level disturbance and cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms Saturday into Saturday night. Strong to severe storms are possible late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Large hail and damaging winds are the main threats. Above normal, almost summer-like temperatures on Saturday will turn below normal on Sunday in the wake of the front. Then, temperatures will warm back up to above normal by the middle of next week. Another upper level disturbance and cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday.

Now, your TTR Weekend Weather from National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio…

Tonight: Partly cloudy before midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.

Saturday: Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 15 to 25 mph.

Saturday Night: Cooler. Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Sunday: Not as warm. Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night And Monday: Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 80s.

Have a great weekend!

TTR Weather Update for COLORADO, JACKSON, and WHARTON Counties from National Weather Service Houston/Galveston

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  • Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Saturday night into early Sunday as a cold front moves across the region.
  • Ahead of the cold front, elevated tides may produce coastal flooding and an enhanced rip current risk along Gulf-facing beaches. A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect for late tonight into Saturday for the coastal counties facing the Gulf of Mexico.

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Breezy, unseasonably warm and humid conditions will prevail today. Heat index values will reach the upper 90’s this afternoon. Strong southerly winds will increase across Southeast Texas and the adjacent coastal waters today and ahead of an approaching cold front. Windy conditions both of these days will result in tide levels exceeding 3.5 feet above MLLW, producing minor coastal flooding and increasing the rip current risk along Gulf-facing beaches.

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The cold front is expected to sweep across the region morning with widespread showers and thunderstorms developing along the front. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado. Locally heavy rain will also be possible, but the overall speed of this system should limit flooding concerns. The cold front and associated storms are expected to be clear of the region Sunday morning.

A strong capping inversion early Saturday night may limit the threat for severe weather. The weather Saturday night will be strongly dependent on whether and where the capping inversion breaks. At this time, the best potential for severe weather is expected to remain north of I-10.

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Resources
Charles Roeseler and Paul Lewis
National Weather Service – Houston/Galveston, TX
Twitter: @NWSHouston
Facebook: NWSHouston

Coming up this week on Lone Star Outdoors with Cable Smith

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We talk everything from waterfowling nesting conditions with DU Biologists Scott Stephens and Steve Adair to British Columbia Grizzly bear hunting possibly being shut down by animal rights activists with outfitter Mike Hawkridge,  Plus mix in some archery discussion with Elite Archery’s Larry McCoy.

Join us Saturday morning at 8, on Texas Thunder Radio!

Cable Smith
Owner/Host  Lone Star Outdoors Show
Twitter: @LonestarOutdoor

TTR WEATHER UPDATE for Colorado, Jackson, and Wharton Counties from National Weather Service Houston- Galveston

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Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Saturday night into Sunday as a cold front moves across the region.
Ahead of the cold front, elevated tides may produce minor coastal flooding and an enhanced rip current risk along Gulf-facing beaches.

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Overview
Dry and warm conditions will continue Friday with patchy fog in the morning, but southerly winds will increase across Southeast Texas and the adjacent coastal waters on Friday and Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front. Windy conditions both of these days will result in tide levels exceeding 3-3.5 feet above MLLW, possibly producing minor coastal flooding and increasing the rip current risk along Gulf-facing beaches.

The cold front is expected to sweep across the region Saturday night into Sunday morning with widespread showers and thunderstorms developing along the front. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two. Locally heavy rain will also be possible, but the overall speed of this system should limit flooding concerns. The cold front and associated storms are expected to be clear of the region late Sunday morning.

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Resources
NWS Houston/Galveston Webpage: www.weather.gov/houston
Hourly Forecasts (Click Your Location): http://forecast.weather.gov/gridpoint.php?site=hgx&TypeDefault=graphical
West Gulf River Forecast Center Webpage: www.weather.gov/wgrfc
AHPS Webpage: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=hgx

Scott Overpeck, Wendy Wong
National Weather Service – Houston/Galveston, TX
Twitter: @NWSHouston
Facebook: NWSHouston

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